When the Raiders travel to face the Bengals to open the NFL wild-card playoffs in a No. 3 vs. No. 6 game Saturday afternoon (4:30 p.m. ET, NBC), they will be looking to build on a four-game winning streak to advance to the divisional round. The Bengals were riding a three-game roll until they played backups against the Browns.
Las Vegas couldn’t handle Cincinnati’s rushing attack in the first meeting in November. Since then, the Bengals have let QB Joe Burrow loose as a downfield passer. Counterpart Derek Carr also has flashed and grinded plenty during an efficient season.
The Raiders will try to pull the upset under interim coach Rich Bisaccia. The Bengals are finally into the playoffs with coach Zac Taylor and want to stay there for a while.
Here’s everything to know about betting on Raiders vs. Bengals in the 2022 NFL playoffs, including updated odds, trends and our expert’s prediction for the wild-card game.
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Raiders vs. Bengals odds for NFL playoff game
- Spread: Bengals by 5.5
- Over/under: 49
- Moneyine: Raiders +205, Bengals -250
The line started at six points in favor of the Bengals and is tilting toward the Raiders late in the week. The Raiders are operating on a short week after playing in overtime on Sunday night, while the Bengals were able to rest Joe Burrow and other regulars in Week 18.
(betting odds per FanDuel Sportsbook)
Raiders vs. Bengals all-time series
The Raiders lead the series 21-12, but the Bengals have won four of the past five matchups going back to 2012, including this season’s 32-13 Week 11 romp at Las Vegas. The Raiders last won 17-10 in 2019. When the Bengals last won a playoff game 21 years ago, they also lost to the Raiders 20-10 in the divisional playoffs.
Three trends to know
—A solid 55 percent of spread bettors are siding with the Raiders to keep the game close and not close to the near-touchdown number.
—61 percent of over/under bettors believe the relatively high number should be in the 50s given the potential of both offenses.
—The Raiders are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. The total has gone over in only four of those games, including Week 18 vs. the Chargers. The Bengals are 6-4 ATS and 5-5 SU in their past 10 games with the total going over six times, too.
Three things to watch
Burrow and his wide receivers
The Bengals saw their wideouts contained against Casey Hayward Jr. and the Raiders’ secondary in the first meeting, but they also won with Joe Mixon dominating in the rushing attack and didn’t need to throw much with their defense balling. Between Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, Burrow will consistently find a good matchup to exploit downfield.
Carr and Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow
Carr has missed his go-to tight end for several games and got him back just in time for Week 18. Renfrow has been super reliable helping with the wideout issues elsewhere. They are tough covers for the Bengals inside. Waller and Renfrow both must go off for Las Vegas to win.
The run defenses
Cincinnati was No. 5, allowing on average only 102.5 yards rushing per game. Las Vegas came in at No. 19, allowing on average 114.3 yards rushing per game. Expect Joe Mixon to have more success than Josh Jacobs again
Stat that matters
8.9 passing yards per attempt. That was Burrow’s mark for the 2021 regular season, best in the NFL. The Raiders limit big pass plays defensively in general, allowing only 6.6 yards per attempt. The Raiders, however, gave up a ton of downfield catches to the Chargers and Justin Herbert in the finale and Burrow has been on fire throwing deep for massive yardage of late.
Raiders vs. Bengals prediction
The Raiders had limited defensive answers for Burrow and Mixon in the first meeting and didn’t show nearly enough offense with Carr and Jacobs. There’s no reason to think the rematch will be different, even though the Raiders are red hot. The Bengals also turned up their play late and come in rested and ready to end a long postseason win drought at home. Burrow makes the big pass plays early while Mixon plays the closer to put the game out of reach in the second half.
Bengals 34, Raiders 17