Marlins vs. Rockies prediction: Starter provides value

The Rockies and Marlins are scheduled to wrap up their three-game series on Thursday afternoon. Although Colorado is in last place in the NL West at 30-38, it would probably be closer to a .500 team if not for an eight-game deficit on the road.

Despite its struggles overall away from home, bettors can still have confidence backing the team on the road against left-handers. In this spot, Colorado has a .290/.354/.445 split vs. lefties vs. a .251/.313/.401 when facing a right-hander.

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The Rockies will face another southpaw with Braxton Garrett set to make his fourth start. Garrett is 1-2 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. His advanced numbers have yet to signal some positive regression, given his 4.97 FIP.

Kyle Freeland pitches.
Kyle Freeland pitches for the Colorado Rockies.
Getty Images

Colorado also will start a lefty as Kyle Freeland gets set to make his 14th appearance. Freeland is 3-5 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. However, Freeland has been much better on the road where he’s 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA vs. 2-3 with a 5.32 ERA at Coors Field.

Moreover, Miami continues to struggle against left-handers as evidenced by a .209/.283/.315 line compared to .253/.320/.418 against right-handers.

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According to our ActionLabs database, Colorado is 71-61 in Freeland’s 132 career starts for a profit of 17.03 units. The Rockies are also 2-0 in his starts against Miami. I’d look to back the visitors on Thursday.

The play: Rockies +115

Odds courtesy of BetMGM