Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots AFC Wild Card betting odds, lines, trends

In this season’s Wild Card Round of the AFC playoffs, the Buffalo Bills are the favorites, but by less than a touchdown (-4) over the New England Patriots. Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York will host the matchup on January 15, 2022, starting at 8:15 PM ET. An over/under of 44 points has been set for the contest.

Odds for Bills vs. Patriots

Favorite Spread Over/Under
Bills -4 44

Bills Betting Stats

As the Home Team

  • Buffalo is 6-3 in home contests and has covered the spread four times at home.
  • This season, the Bills have a 4-2-2 record ATS in home games when playing as 4-point favorites or more.
  • Buffalo’s home games have hit the over on the set point total three times this year.
  • The Bills and their opponents have averaged a total of 45.6 points per home contest this season, 1.6 points greater than this game’s projected total.

Last Three Games

  • Buffalo covered the spread twice in its past three contests while putting up a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
  • One time in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
  • The past three Bills games averaged 44.0 points, equal to this matchup’s over/under.

Overall Betting Stats

  • Buffalo has a 9-6-2 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bills have a 6-4-2 record against the spread in games they were favored by 4 points or more this season.
  • Eight of Buffalo’s 17 games with a set total have hit the over (47.1%).
  • Buffalo and its opponent have broken the 44-point mark nine times this season.
  • Bills games average 47.4 total points per game this season, 3.4 more than the over/under for this matchup.

Patriots Betting Stats

As the Away Team

  • New England has covered the spread five times on the road and is 6-2 in road contests.
  • This year, the Patriots are 2-2 ATS in road games as 4-point underdogs or more.
  • New England has gone over a set point total in a road game three times this year.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have averaged a total of 43.4 points per road contest this year, 0.6 points fewer than this game’s posted total.

Last Three Games

  • New England covered the spread once in its last three matchups while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • The Patriots and their opponents have hit the over in all three of those games.
  • The last three Patriots games averaged 42.0 total points, 2.0 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.

Overall Betting Stats

  • New England has gone 10-7-0 ATS this season.
  • When they have played as at least 4-point underdogs this season, the Patriots are 1-0 against the spread.
  • Out of New England’s 17 games with a set total, nine have hit the over (52.9%).
  • New England’s games have gone over 44 points on 10 occasions this season.
  • This season, Patriots games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.1, which is 0.1 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

Over/Under Trends

  Point Scored (PG) Points Allowed (PG) Average Over/Under Games Over Current O/U
Bills 28.4 17.0 47.4 9
Patriots 27.2 17.8 44.1 10

Bills Player Props

  • Josh Allen has passed for 4,407 yards (409-for-646), with 36 touchdowns and 15 interceptions (259.2 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 122 times for a team-high 763 yards and six scores, averaging 44.9 yards per game.
  • Devin Singletary has churned out a team-high 870 rushing yards (51.2 per game) and seven scores.
  • Stefon Diggs has 103 catches (on 164 targets) and leads the team with 1,225 receiving yards (72.1 per game) while scoring 10 touchdowns.
  • Cole Beasley has also added 82 receptions (on 112 targets) for 693 yards, scoring one touchdown.
Name Pass Yds Rush Yds Rec Yds
Josh Allen 239.5 (-115)
Cole Beasley 33.5 (-115)
Stefon Diggs 64.5 (-115)
Dawson Knox 27.5 (-110)
Devin Singletary 59.5 (-114)

Patriots Player Props

  • Mac Jones has thrown for 3,801 yards while completing 67.6% of his passes, with 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions (223.6 yards per game).
  • Damien Harris has taken 202 carries for a team-leading 929 rushing yards (54.6 per game) while scoring 15 touchdowns.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has 606 yards on 133 carries (35.6 yards per game), with five rushing touchdowns.
  • Jakobi Meyers has been targeted 126 times and has 83 catches, leading his team with 866 yards (50.9 per game) while hauling in two touchdowns.
  • Kendrick Bourne has chipped in with 55 receptions (on 70 targets) for 800 yards and five touchdowns.
Name Pass Yds Rush Yds Rec Yds
Nelson Agholor 27.5 (-114)
Kendrick Bourne 34.5 (-115)
Hunter Henry 32.5 (-114)
Jakobi Meyers 45.5 (-114)
Damien Harris 57.5 (-114)
Mac Jones 201.5 (-105) 7.5 (-124)

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